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Richard Aboulafia is Vice President, Analysis at Teal Group. He manages consulting projects for clients in the commercial and military aircraft field, and has advised numerous aerospace companies. He also writes and edits Teal's World Military and Civil Aircraft Briefing, a forecasting tool covering over 135 aircraft programs and markets. Richard also writes publicly about the aviation field, with numerous articles in Aviation Week, Aerospace America, and other publications. Frequently cited as an aviation industry authority by trade and news publications, he has appeared on numerous television news programs and has spoken at a wide variety of conferences.
February 3, 2016 :: February 2015 Letter - Dear Fellow 2016 Global Reality Avoiders,

To understand the aerospace industry, you should follow at least 100 companies. But to understand the world today, you just need to follow one aerospace company. You can see most of the horrible headlines that we’...   [More]

January 22, 2016 :: Aircraft Markets Downshift; Dark Clouds Loom - Aviation Week & Space Technology (paywall)

January 20, 2016 :: For Airbus, There's Virtue In 'Unrealistic' Output Goals For New A320neo -

December 22, 2015 :: December 2015 Letter - Dear Fellow Year-End Industry Reckoners,

In my last year-end letter I compiled a list of 2014’s five winners and five losers in the aircraft industry. But my impression of the past year is somewhat mixed: I can think of companies that experienced both extremely good an...   [More]

December 1, 2015 :: November 2015 Letter - Dear Fellow World Airport Wanderers,

My profession has an easy sanity check. If a forecaster frequently uses the phrase If current trends continue…he needs a new career. Status quo bias is a toxic mindset, because current trends almost never...   [More]

December 1, 2015 :: Pratt Geared Turbofan Blazes Trail Of Disruption - Aviation Week & Space Technology (paywall)

November 13, 2015 :: Rolls-Royce's Long Road To A Difficult Week -

November 3, 2015 :: How Canada’s Aerospace Industry Dodged A Bullet - Aviation Week & Space Technology (paywall)

October 28, 2015 :: October 2015 Letter - Dear Fellow Canadian Election Watchers,

In the words of noted American philosopher Mike Tyson, “Everyone has a plan ‘til they get punched in the mouth.” The CSeries plan was always a few Molsons short of a six pack (“What could go wrong? It’s not like our competi...   [More]

October 9, 2015 :: September 2015 Letter - Dear Fellow Foreign Dignitary Visit Enthusiasts,

In honor of Chinese president Xi Jinping’s recent visit to the US (and to Boeing), I have prepared a two-page China market study. The bottom line finding of this mini-study: China matters more than ever as an aircraf...   [More]

October 7, 2015 :: Bombardier and Airbus: This Does Not Look Good At All -

October 1, 2015 :: Life After the C-17 - Aviation Week & Space Technology (paywall)

September 28, 2015 :: Ex-Im Bank Supporters May Need A New Approach - blog

September 23, 2015 :: Boeing's Completion Center: The Cost Of Doing Business In China - blog

August 31, 2015 :: August 2015 Letter - Dear Fellow New Aircraft Program Enthusiasts,

Time to talk LRS-B. The USAF will decide next month if Boeing/Lockheed Martin or Northrop Grumman will build the next strategic bomber. I can’t handicap this competition. Nobody outside of the selection committe...   [More]

August 30, 2015 :: The Myth Of Bigger Jets - Aviation Week & Space Technology (paywall)

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© Richard Aboulafia 1997-2006, All rights reserved.
  ~  Last updated on January 08, 2006